Poll: New Jersey Governor Race Nearly Tied
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The race for the next Governor of New Jersey is tight.
Democrat candidate Mikie Sherrill only leads Republican candidate Jack Ciattarelli 50.2% to 49.3% according to a new Atlas Intel poll.
AtlasIntel poll | 10/25-10/30
New Jersey Governor
🟦Mikie Sherrill 50.2%
🟥Jack Ciattarelli 49.3% https://t.co/1xw6cHEIHu pic.twitter.com/pRrBBm5Ow1— Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 (@PollTracker2024) November 1, 2025
New Jersey Republican gubernatorial candidate Jack Ciattarelli and Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D-NJ), the Democrat gubernatorial candidate, are virtually tied in the state’s gubernatorial race, ahead of Tuesday’s election.
An AtlasIntel poll, conducted between October 25-30, 2025, surveyed 1,639 likely voters in the New Jersey elections and found that 50.2 percent of respondents would vote for Sherrill, while 49.3 percent would vote for Ciattarelli. However, the poll had a ± 2 percent margin of error.
The poll also found that Sherrill received 58.7 percent of support from women, compared to 40.5 percent from men. Ciattarelli, on the other hand, received 40.6 percent of support from women, compared to 59.3 percent of support from men.
Sherrill received 94.7 percent of support from Democrat voters, and 3.5 percent of support from Republican voters. The poll also found that Ciattarelli received 96.2 percent of Republicans, and 4.7 percent of support from Democrat voters.
Other polls have also shown the race tightening.
It’s just the latest survey to show a nail-biter in the most-watched statewide election this year.
It follows a series of surveys showing a tightening race, including an Emerson College poll released Thursday that had Sherrill’s lead at 50% to 48%.
Sherrill also held a 1% lead in polls by InsiderAdvantage/Trafalgar Group survey last month.
